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Breaking News
Posted At: November 20, 2008 @ 12:47 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Northerly and northwesterly flow lake effect bands have intensified overnight and today across the central Upper Peninsula of Michigan, and northern and southwest Lower Michigan, dropping up to 10 inches of new snow in the favored snow belt areas. The highest 12 hour snowfall I could find was 10.2 inches at Fennville, MI in Allegan County, but I bet there were several localized reports exceeding this. As the cold air rotates east, the heavy lake effect snow will develop downwind of Lakes Huron, Erie, and Ontario as well, where lake effect snow warnings and watches are also in effect.
Posted At: November 18, 2008 @ 9:28 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Northwesterly flow lake effect has been pounding some of the "snow belt" locations downwind of the Great Lakes since yesterday, with up to a foot or more of new snow reported over parts of Michigan. Significant snow has also been falling over the higher elevations of West Virginia, where over a foot of snow could fall by tomorrow morning! Winds are expected to shift to a more northerly direction from west to east across the Great Lakes tonight, so lake effect snow watches have been issued for the favored northerly flow locations of the Upper Peninsula of MI and northern WI for tomorrow and tomorrow night. The winter storm warnings (dark blue), watches (purple) and advisories (light blue and pink) are shown below:

Chris Chittick is currently in Spring Lake, MI, on the Lake Michigan shoreline, and experienced heavy lake effect snow squalls last night. He sent me the pictures below.. 3-4 inches of new snow fell there, but quickly melted as the sun came out this morning. If anyone else would like to contribute photos of extreme weather to the blog, please email them to me at reed@tornadovideos.net
Posted At: November 17, 2008 @ 12:51 AM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Posted At: November 16, 2008 @ 10:09 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Episode 5 of Storm Chasers did a very good job depicting many of the hurdles chasers have to overcome to see tornadoes. Danny and Aaron sliding off the road was hilarious! The road network in this area along and north of I-70 in Central Kansas is terrible for chasing, and to compound the problem, supercells were training over the same area for several days in a row! The nearly impassable roads over Memorial Day weekend will be a huge issue in the next episode as well, which show the Quinter, KS tornado fest.. I look forward to your comments on the show so far! Things will get much more intense during the last episodes..
Posted At: November 15, 2008 @ 1:20 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
As a strong storm system continues to deepen over the Great Lakes, a strong LLJ will develop from the Mid-Atlantic to the Southeast U.S. with 50+ knots at 850 mb this afternoon and evening from New Jersey south to the eastern Carolinas. Sufficient instability and a weak cap will also be present in the warm sector, allowing for supercells and convective line segments to develop along a rapidly advancing cold front. Given the extreme low-level helicity values, and storm initiation already underway, tornado watches have been issued by the Storm Prediction Center for Southeast PA, southern NJ southward to eastern NC.
Here is the 850 mb NAM analysis for 18z for the eastern U.S., showing the intense low-level flow to the east of the cyclone across the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. Check back for updates as this severe weather event unfolds..
Posted At: November 11, 2008 @ 2:06 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Severe weather will be possible this afternoon along the trailing end of a cold front sagging southward toward the Gulf of Mexico. Weak instability, and marginal low-level wind shear should limit any tornado threat, but strong straight-line winds and marginally severe hail are possible as a convective complex drifts south and eastward. The most intense development will occur later this afternoon near the southwestern end of this line, where the atmosphere will be less tainted by convective debris and clouds. This could be the last severe weather chance for a long time! Then its time to chase lake effect blizzards..